MTN Consulting is focused on network operators & their technology supply chains, tracking the economics of the network operator business and assessing the big shifts that impact technology spending trends. Our coverage includes:
3 major network operator markets
- Telecom Network Operator (TNO)
- Webscale Network Operator (WNO)
- Carrier-Neutral Network Operator (CNNO)
190+ operators
Across the three major network operator markets in all key regions
40+ time series
10+ years’ market- and operator-wise data across quarters and years starting 2011
~50 reports published per year
- Market data and insight reports spanning –
- quarterly market reviews
- operator and vendor deep dives
- benchmarking and strategic assessments
- forecast/outlook analysis
Latest report
Telecom’s biggest vendors – 2Q24 edition
The goal of this report series is to equip telecom industry decision-makers with a comprehensive view of spending trends and vendor market power in their industry. To do this we assess technology vendors' revenues in the telecom vertical, across a wide range of company types and technology segments. We call this market "telco network infrastructure", or "Telco NI." This study tracks 134 Telco NI vendors, providing revenue and market share estimates for the 1Q13-2Q24 period. Of these 134 vendors, 108 are actively selling to telcos; most others have been acquired by other companies in the database. For instance, ADVA is now part of Adtran, but both companies remain in the database because of historic sales. Below are the key highlights of the report: Revenues: Telco NI vendor revenues were $53.3B in 2Q24 and $205.7B for the annualized 2Q24 period overall, down 3.4% and 8.9% on a YoY basis, respectively. Huawei lifted the market: excluding Huawei, the total market declined by 7.3% in the latest single quarter and by 11.2% in annualized 2Q24 on a YoY basis. After many disappointing quarters, Huawei appears to have turned a corner in the latest three quarters. Top vendors: The top three Telco NI vendors remain the usual trio: Huawei, Ericsson, and Nokia. They account for 37.7% of the total market in annualized 2Q24, or 40.3% in 2Q24 alone. China Comservice and ZTE have been jostling for the 4th and 5th positions since early 2019. Key vendors by YoY revenue growth: The top three vendors, in terms of YoY revenue growth, are common to both single quarter and annualized 2Q24: Tejas Networks, Broadcom, and Alphabet. Respectively, their jumps were due to BSNL’s 4G rollout in India (Tejas), acquisition of VMWare in Nov 2023 (Broadcom), and improved penetration of the telecom vertical with cloud services (Alphabet). Spending outlook: Per our latest official forecast, we expect telco capex - the main driver of the Telco NI market - to dip from $315B in 2023 to between $295B-$305B. Capex will start to rise again in a couple of years, reaching $331B in 2028. The spending outlook for the US market is appealing in the short-term due to government funding (BEAD and RDOF).
Latest reports
- September 27, 2024 Telecom’s biggest vendors – 2Q24 edition
- September 26, 2024 Will the data center gold rush come to an end?
- September 12, 2024 Review of 2Q24 capex and outlook for all segments
- August 23, 2024 Webscale Network Operators: 2Q24 Market Review
- August 14, 2024 Telecom’s biggest vendors – 1Q24 edition
MTN Consulting is focused on network operators & their technology supply chains, tracking the economics of the network operator business and assessing the big shifts that impact technology spending trends. Our coverage includes:
- 3 major network operator markets
- 190+ operators
- 40+ time series
- 50 reports published per year
Latest report
Telecom’s biggest vendors – 2Q24 edition
The goal of this report series is to equip telecom industry decision-makers with a comprehensive view of spending trends and vendor market power in their industry. To do this we assess technology vendors' revenues in the telecom vertical, across a wide range of company types and technology segments. We call this market "telco network infrastructure", or "Telco NI." This study tracks 134 Telco NI vendors, providing revenue and market share estimates for the 1Q13-2Q24 period. Of these 134 vendors, 108 are actively selling to telcos; most others have been acquired by other companies in the database. For instance, ADVA is now part of Adtran, but both companies remain in the database because of historic sales. Below are the key highlights of the report: Revenues: Telco NI vendor revenues were $53.3B in 2Q24 and $205.7B for the annualized 2Q24 period overall, down 3.4% and 8.9% on a YoY basis, respectively. Huawei lifted the market: excluding Huawei, the total market declined by 7.3% in the latest single quarter and by 11.2% in annualized 2Q24 on a YoY basis. After many disappointing quarters, Huawei appears to have turned a corner in the latest three quarters. Top vendors: The top three Telco NI vendors remain the usual trio: Huawei, Ericsson, and Nokia. They account for 37.7% of the total market in annualized 2Q24, or 40.3% in 2Q24 alone. China Comservice and ZTE have been jostling for the 4th and 5th positions since early 2019. Key vendors by YoY revenue growth: The top three vendors, in terms of YoY revenue growth, are common to both single quarter and annualized 2Q24: Tejas Networks, Broadcom, and Alphabet. Respectively, their jumps were due to BSNL’s 4G rollout in India (Tejas), acquisition of VMWare in Nov 2023 (Broadcom), and improved penetration of the telecom vertical with cloud services (Alphabet). Spending outlook: Per our latest official forecast, we expect telco capex - the main driver of the Telco NI market - to dip from $315B in 2023 to between $295B-$305B. Capex will start to rise again in a couple of years, reaching $331B in 2028. The spending outlook for the US market is appealing in the short-term due to government funding (BEAD and RDOF).
Latest reports
- September 27, 2024 Telecom’s biggest vendors – 2Q24 edition
- September 26, 2024 Will the data center gold rush come to an end?
- September 12, 2024 Review of 2Q24 capex and outlook for all segments
- August 23, 2024 Webscale Network Operators: 2Q24 Market Review
- August 14, 2024 Telecom’s biggest vendors – 1Q24 edition
In The Press
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April 2024
What lies ahead for India’s Vodafone Idea -
Our Three Core Offerings
Research
MTNC’s research is focused on communications network infrastructure, a market attracting $3.5 trillion in annual operator revenues. Our goal is to provide credible, holistic assessments of where the NI market currently stands and where it is headed. Reports address market and technology trends, key players, and country dynamics.
Subscription
MTNC bundles its research into an annual subscription service called “Global Network Infrastructure”. GNI provides clients with an end-to-end view of the network operator business, assessing the big shifts that impact technology spending trends. GNI clients include technology vendors (chips, network equipment and software, IT services), operators, regulators, and investors.
Consulting
Our consulting services include: scenario planning; market sizing, forecasting, and analysis; organizational strategy; marketing support; competitive benchmarking; and, due diligence support for M&A and PE transactions. We bring experience and independence to the table, and access to the proprietary databases generated by our GNI subscription program.
In The Press
Southeast Asia emerging as the new battleground for cloud service providers
Fierce Network
Hyperscalers gain network infrastructure market share
Inform, TM Forum
Can CSPs realize opex reductions through AI?
Inform, TM Forum
What lies ahead for India’s Vodafone Idea
Fierce Network
SK Telecom’s enduring belief in metaverse spells hope for the technology
Fierce Network
BT confirms Starlink tests as it explores remote connectivity options
Fierce Network
Forecast on Telecoms Capex, Revenue and Business Models
Telecomlead
What does Qualcomm terminating its chip deal with Iridium mean for satellite telecom?
SDxCentral
ZTE stock slides on weaker earnings, falling revenue
LightReading
AT&T, Vodafone, AST hit a 5G satellite milestone
SDxCentral
Amazon, SpaceX extend reach with Vodafone, KDDI satellite deals
SDxCentral
Vodafone expands horizons with Amazon’s Project Kuiper
Fierce Network
Blogs
With each passing day, the 2G and 3G layers of telcos' mobile networks are looming as heavy loads on operating expenses (opex). That's due to multiple issues but especially energy consumption and related costs. With the exist
read moreVendors continue to wrestle with supply chain constraints in the telecom sector. That's clear from several recent vendor earnings reports, including those issued by Dell, HPE, and Ciena in recent weeks. Telco spending, though
read moreTelco network spending has been on the rise over the last few quarters. Vendor sales of network infrastructure to the telco vertical ("Telco NI”) totaled $55.5B in 1Q22, up 5.7% YoY. On an annualized basis, Telco NI revenue
read moreTelco NI's top 3 Telcos buy products & services from dozens of different vendors. Our research tracks 130. Some are relatively easy to classify into a segment, e.g. Corning, a "cabling & connectivity" vendor in our
read moreIt was the Greek philosopher Heraclitus who coined the phrase, “Change is the only constant in life.” Well over a thousand years later, Benjamin Franklin continued the thought, saying, “When you are finished changing
read moreOne of the many telecom stats we track is "labor costs", i.e. what telcos spend in salaries and benefits to support their workforce. Not a lot of other analyst firms track labor costs, if any. It's not an easy one to track, a
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